Washington D.C. / New Delhi — President Donald Trump has finalized what he calls a “historic” trade deal with India, effectively ending months of tariff escalation.
By reducing the 25% reciprocal tariff to 18%, Trump has secured a commitment from PM Narendra Modi to shift India’s energy reliance away from Russia and toward the United States and Venezuela.
This $500 billion pledge covers energy, technology, coal, and agriculture, signaling a major victory for the administration’s “Reciprocity” doctrine.
Analyzing the “Trump Effect” on Global Stability
Análise & Contexto
Trump is systematically using market access as a weapon for peace. By linking trade benefits to the cessation of Russian oil purchases, he is cutting off the financial lifeblood of the Kremlin’s war machine.
For international trade, this creates a “Tiered Globalization” where nations that align with U.S. energy and security interests receive preferential treatment, while those that remain neutral or hostile face the full weight of the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act) tariffs. The global citizen now lives in a world where geopolitical alignment is the primary factor in determining local inflation and market availability.
