February 5 Briefing: Tech Resilience and Energy Shifts Dictate Global Sentiment

By JR Vital

5 de fevereiro de 2026

The Strategy:

While the London City wakes up, the global financial landscape is being reshaped by a heavy earnings calendar and shifting macro indicators. From the resilience of US consumer tech to the geopolitical ripples in the energy sector, today’s session is defined by high-stakes expectations. At Diário Carioca, we break down the signals that will move the needle in Europe and the Americas today.

GLOBAL RADAR: KEY DRIVERS FOR FEB 5, 2026

1. The Tech & AI Frontier

• Amazon (AMZN): All eyes are on a projected 12% revenue surge. Beyond retail, the focus is the “AI-driven cloud demand.” If Amazon beats expectations, expect a tech rally in the European afternoon.
• Reddit & Roblox: High-growth signals. Reddit’s 55.6% revenue jump highlights the value of data-licensing deals with Google and OpenAI—a key trend for 2026.
• CMS Energy: A surprise winner in the AI race, driven by the massive energy demands of AI data centers.

2. Energy & Commodities (The Brazil-Venezuela Connection)

• ConocoPhillips: Anticipating a profit dip due to lower crude prices. Investors are hyper-focused on Venezuela commentary and restructuring moves—directly impacting the South American energy balance.
• Brazil Trade Balance: A projected surplus of $4.90 billion for January (down from December’s $9.63B). This sharp correction is a vital data point for BRL traders this morning.

3. Macro & Central Banks

• The Fed (Bostic): Commentary on monetary policy at 10:50 AM ET will be the pivot point for the afternoon session.
• JOLTS Report: December job openings are expected to hit 7.2 million, signaling a still-tight US labor market that complicates the Fed’s path.
• Mexico (Banxico): Rates likely to hold steady at 7%, a sign of cautious stability in Latin America.

4. The IPO “Big Bang”

• Forgent Power: Debuting on the NYSE with a valuation near $8.8 billion. This is a litmus test for the 2026 IPO market, alongside Eikon Therapeutics and Bob’s Discount Furniture.

SUMMARY TABLE FOR THE EUROPEAN TRADER